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3 May 2016
Luca Sarri
Last week saw the market continue to be range bound between 6200 and 6400, where the index finished slightly down after the major U.K. Banks reported mixed results. On a similar note, we also saw the U.S. Fed Reserve leave rates unchanged.
This week is a short week for the markets, with the build-up to the Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday, this is the jobs report and will give an indication for not just the U.S. markets but also whether we are going to see U.S. Fed reserve increase rates and at what pace.
Please click the image below to enlarge the UK 100 Hourly Chart
Oil continued to further its’ gains from the previous week, reaching new highs of just above $46.50. The valuation of oil began to increase on the back of news posted on the 26th April that an industry group reported a surprise draw in U.S. Crude stockpiles.
A slightly contrary piece of news was the key economic indicator, ‘Crude Oil Inventories’ data posted on Wednesday. It was reported an actual increase in inventory of 2.0M barrels, as opposed to the 1.4M forecast, this led to the slight decline in value as surplus supply was not well received.
However, it was not enough to sway Oil’s general uptrend, with price quickly recovering the same day to reach higher highs by week’s end.
Please click the image below to enlarge the U.S. Oil Hourly Chart
Monday
Bank Holiday
Tuesday
SABMiller * Aberdeen Asset Management * HSBC * Ford
Wednesday
Next * Carillion * Imperial Brands * Paddy Power Betfair * J Sainsbury * Royal Dutch Shell * Royal Bank of Scotland * Adidas * Randgold Resources
Thursday
Millenium & Copthorne Hotels * Sage * Morrison * BT Group * Smith & Nephew * RSA Insurance
Friday
InterContinental Hotels Group * Capital & Counties Properties * Allergen
Monday
Data Type | Forecast | Previous |
3:00 pm ECB President Draghi Speaks | – | – |
3:00 pm U.S. ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index | 51.6 | 51.8 |
Tuesday
Data Type | Forecast | Previous |
Manufacturing Purchasing Manager’s Index | 51.3 | 50.7 |
Wednesday
Data Type | Forecast | Previous |
9:30 am UK Construction Purchasing Managers Index | 54.1 | 54.2 |
1:15 pm U.S. ADP Non-Farm Employment Change | 205K | 200K |
3:00 pm U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index | 54.9 | 54.5 |
3:30 pm U.S. Crude Oil Inventories | – | 2.0M |
Thursday
Data Type | Forecast | Previous |
9:30 am UK Services Purchasing Managers Index | 53.6 | 53.7 |
1:30 pm U.S. Unemployment Claims | 261K | 257K |
Friday
Data Type | Forecast | Previous |
1:30pm Average Hourly Earnings m/m | 0.3% | 0.3% |
1:30 pm Non-Farm Employment Change | 206K | 215K |
1:30pm Unemployment Rate | 5.0% | 5.0% |
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